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Ein Bitcoin-Preis von 182.000 USD würde Satoshi Nakamoto wahrscheinlich zur reichsten Person der Welt machen.

Es wird geschätzt, dass Satoshi Nakamoto, der Schöpfer von BTC, der reichste Mensch der Welt wird, wenn der Preis für Bitcoin Superstar ungefähr 182.000 US-Dollar erreicht.

Seit März 2021 ist Amazon-Gründer Jeff Bezos mit einem Nettowert von 181,6 Milliarden US-Dollar der reichste Mensch der Welt.

Elon Musk, der CEO von Tesla , liegt mit 163,7 Milliarden US-Dollar knapp an zweiter Stelle und besitzt mehr als 20% des Elektroautoherstellers.

Wie viel BTC hat Satoshi Nakamoto?

Satoshi Nakamoto, der Erfinder von Bitcoin, veröffentlichte das Bitcoin-Whitepaper im Oktober 2008 unter einer öffentlichen MIT-Lizenz.

Am 3. Januar 2009 wurde der erste Block von Bitcoin, der als “Genesis-Block” bekannt ist, abgebaut. Dies war der Start des Bitcoin-Netzwerks, das die Kryptowährung und die Blockchain-Bewegung in Gang setzte.

Obwohl die genauen Zahlen noch unklar sind, hat Satoshi Nakamoto von Januar bis Juli 2009 schätzungsweise über 1 Million BTC abgebaut. Dies bedeutet, dass Satoshi Nakamoto bei den aktuellen Bitcoin-Preisen einen geschätzten Wert von rund 54 Milliarden US-Dollar hat.

Mit anderen Worten, wenn der Preis von Bitcoin 182.000 US-Dollar erreicht, würde dies Nakamotos Nettovermögen auf rund 182 Milliarden US-Dollar bringen, was höher ist als das derzeitige Nettovermögen von Bezos.

Im Jahr 2010 veröffentlichte Sergio Demian Lerner, ein bekannter Kryptowährungsforscher, ein Forschungspapier, in dem die BTC-Bestände von Satoshi Nakamoto geschätzt wurden.

Durch die Analyse der frühen Blöcke, die Satoshi abgebaut hat, schätzte Lerner, dass 1 Million BTC wahrscheinlich im Besitz von Satoshi sind. Er schrieb :

“Ich schätze auf den ersten Blick, dass das Vermögen von Satoshi bei 1 Million Bitcoins oder 100 Millionen USD zum aktuellen Wechselkurs liegt. Ich bin sicher, dass es viele Leute geben wird, die den Quelldatensatz sorgfältig analysieren und die genaue Zahl ermitteln sehr nah, aber trotzdem werden sie mich wieder anschreien. ”

Kann der Preis von BTC 182.000 USD erreichen?

Während es viele Preismodelle gibt, die vorhersagen, dass der Preis von Bitcoin zwischen 200.000 und 1 Million US-Dollar liegen wird, ist das bekannteste Modell das Stock-to-Flow-Modell (S2F).

Das S2F-Modell prognostiziert, dass der Preis von Bitcoin bis Ende 2021 100.000 US-Dollar auf “konservative” 288.000 US-Dollar erreichen wird. Dabei wird eine Formel verwendet, die auf der Beziehung zwischen dem Wert von Bitcoin und dem vorhandenen Angebot (Lagerbestand) und der Menge der neu abgebauten BTC basiert der Markt (Flow).

Im November 2020 sagte PlanB, der Erfinder des S2F-Modells :

“Die Leute fragen, ob ich noch an mein Modell glaube. Um es klar zu sagen: Ich habe keinen Zweifel daran, dass Bitcoin S2FX korrekt ist und Bitcoin vor Dezember 2021 zwischen 100.000 und 288.000 US-Dollar tippen wird.”

I gettoni DeFi e gli altcoin si muovono in alto mentre il prezzo Bitcoin trova resistenza vicino ai 35.000 dollari.

Il 12 gennaio il prezzo della Bitcoin (BTC) è leggermente rimbalzato mentre il prezzo ha tentato di rientrare nella fascia dei 37.000 dollari, ma al momento della scrittura l’aumento delle vendite sta spingendo il prezzo verso i 32.000 dollari.

Mentre l’azione ribassista del prezzo potrebbe aver scosso i nuovi investitori che non hanno familiarità con la volatilità del Bitcoin, il recente calo del 28% non lo colloca nemmeno nella lista dei 5 peggiori ritiri della BTC della storia. Infatti, il rimbalzo del 20% di oggi ha segnato uno dei più grandi rimbalzi di un giorno di Bitcoin di sempre.

La performance giornaliera del mercato della crittovaluta.

Nonostante il rapido rimbalzo del 20% di Bitcoin, molti analisti hanno dato voce alla cautela, avvertendo che la massima crittovaluta non è ancora fuori pericolo a causa di un alto tasso di finanziamento nel mercato dei futures e della crescente forza dell’indice del dollaro statunitense (DXY).

Gli investitori a lungo termine e a livello istituzionale sembrano indifferenti alla correzione e probabilmente ritengono che non sia altro che un ripiego a breve termine.

Gli analisti di Goldman Sachs hanno suggerito che i recenti sviluppi sono un segno che “il mercato sta cominciando a diventare più maturo” e che il settore ha un grande potenziale di crescita grazie al fatto che il coinvolgimento istituzionale comprende solo l’1% del mercato attuale.

Le azioni cercano un sostegno

Mentre Bitcoin e altcoins hanno visto un sano rimbalzo, i mercati tradizionali hanno continuato ad essere sotto pressione a causa della possibilità di continui disordini politici negli Stati Uniti e delle preoccupazioni per l’impatto economico delle nuove restrizioni COVID-19.

I segnali di un rafforzamento del dollaro stanno mettendo sotto pressione i mercati finanziari globali in tutto il mondo e alcuni analisti hanno persino ammonito che un dollaro forte è un male per il prezzo del Bitcoin.

Gli indici principali sono stati sotto pressione per tutto il giorno e sono finiti mischiati alla campana di chiusura, con l’S&P 500 e il Dow in leggero aumento dello 0,04% e dello 0,19% rispettivamente, mentre il NASDAQ ha chiuso lo 0,08%.

Altcoins mostra la sua forza mentre Bitcoin cerca di trovare una nuova gamma di trading

Bitcoin sembra ora entrare in una nuova gamma in cui $30.000 è il supporto e il livello di $35.000 può agire come resistenza. Come questo accade, gli altcoin selezionati si sono spostati più in alto e i trader capitalizzano sulla stabilità di BTC passando agli altcoin.

BTC/USDT grafico a 1 ora.

Il prezzo dell’etere (ETH) ha superato i 1.000 dollari e al momento di scrivere le transazioni altcoin per 1.050 dollari. Anche Stellar (XLM) ha recuperato bene martedì, poiché l’asset digitale ha guadagnato il 22,16%.

Anche il settore DeFi ha continuato a mostrare la sua forza, con Maker’s governance token (MKR) che ha superato il 31%. Anche Synthetix (SNX) e AAVE hanno guadagnato il 23% in quanto entrambe hanno raggiunto nuovi massimi dell’anno.

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is currently investigating the Australian fund manager who manages the crypto fund

The multinational hedge company Virgil Capital, which allows trading in cryptomeda, is managed by Stefan Qin. The SEC claims that the company has stolen a sum of $92 million from investors. The 23-year-old founder faces several charges, ranging from document manufacturing to cryptoma-related securities fraud.

Last week, the commission requested a court order to freeze some $25 million in digital assets held by another Australian-administered fund. The SEC also sought to halt the fund’s operations. Stefan Qin would have obtained investment funds from clients lying about their business performance as well as their regulatory status.

In addition to falsifying audit documents, he also used false financial statements to attract investors. The oversight committee also claims that Qin has committed to investing the funds in crypto-currency transactions using a proprietary algorithm. However, the money was not directed to investment in cryptomime Profit Secret, but was transferred to his accounts. He intended to use the funds to pay Chinese creditors.

An SEC press release said: “Since at least July 2020, Qin and Virgil Capital told investors who requested Sigma Fund redemptions that their interests would be transferred to another fund under Qin’s final control, but with separate management and operations, the VQR Multistrategy Fund LP. The claim claims that no fund was transferred and the redemption requests remain pending. The SEC complaint further alleges that Qin is actively trying to appropriate VQR Fund assets and raise new investments in Sigma Fund“.

Qin is said to have sold fraudulent crypto fund shares since 2018 through five associated business entities, namely Virgil Technologies, VQR Partners, Virgil Quantitative Research, Montgomery Technologies and Virgil Capital.

This is not the first SEC case involving fraud and misappropriation in the crypto space. The commission has dealt with several crypto fraud cases and even issued an investor alert in the past. Kristina Littman, head of the Cyber Unit of the SEC’s Enforcement Division, said: “This emergency action is an important step to protect investors’ assets and avoid further damage.

Vaccine against covid-19 should bring recovery to markets damaged by the pandemic and hurt the price of Bitcoin

Coronavirus vaccination can bring relief to the traditional market and bear market to BitcoinNOTÍCIAS

Only the vaccine for covid-19 should bring recovery to markets most impacted by the pandemic.

This is what Bernardo Pascowitch, founder of Yubb, the country’s largest investment seeker, points out.

Thus, for the specialist, the arrival of a coronavirus immunisation with proven effectiveness and accessible to the population is the main signal for the market to emerge from the period of instability that marked the year 2020.

“Companies that have suffered greatly from quarantine tend to excel in 2021. Six sectors attract attention: airlines, shopping malls, tourism, shows and events, education and banks. But these are bets considering a scenario of population vaccination,” Pascowitch points out.

Furthermore, according to him, with a recovery in the economy, bank shares tend to rise again driven by a new demand for credit.

“The banks, for example, are still under a lot of pressure on account of credit. With the vaccine, credit quality tends to improve and the sector is likely to lend more, reduce provisioning and stocks may appreciate”.

Bitcoin falling
But mass vaccination around the world, as has been happening, could shorten the cycle of contamination, which would indicate a strengthening of traditional assets – and, as a result, would indicate a weakening of Bitcoin.

That is the opinion of João Marco Braga da Cunha, portfolio manager at Hashdex.

“It is likely that at some point the price will go backwards, as is the nature of crypto assets. But it does not seem that we are facing a bubble, which would cause such a big setback in price, as it happened at the end of 2018. The euphoria of the record could stimulate a profit-making movement, just as it happens in the stock market,” he told the portal 6 minutes.

Stocks on the rise
In the case of equities, Bernardo points out that there are markets that have already risen considerably in 2020, reversing the initial drop in the beginning of the pandemic.

This is the case with retail and technology companies, which should not be overvalued in a vaccination scenario. However, it is important for the market to pay attention not only to the projections, but above all to concrete measures.

“There is a great deal of optimism about vaccines, but no one knows for sure when they will arrive and how effective they will be. Therefore, there may be moments of price correction throughout 2021. And if there are difficulties for vaccination all over the world, a second or third wave of the coronavirus may happen, especially after the end-of-year parties. Unfortunately, there is still the possibility of getting worse before the market improves”, Bernardo ponders.

Real estate funds (FIIs) tend to follow the same logic as Brazilian stocks.

“In a vaccination scenario, real estate funds should be valued, especially those that suffered most from the quarantines in 2020, such as shopping centers. However, with this issue on the rise over new waves of coronavirus and, respectively, new quarantines, the FIIs are still under great pressure and unstable for the coming months. It is also worth a caveat for corporate slab funds, because we don’t know if the companies will fully return to their offices,” Bernardo said.

Tax packages
On the American scene, the end of the year was marked by new fiscal stimuli in states. In January, the new president of the United States, Joe Biden, will defend a new package.

“This injection of resources into the world’s largest economy has some significant impacts. First, the weakening of the dollar, and this could cause a currency devaluation in Brazil. Second, there may be a large appreciation in the US indices. After all, a lot of money in the economy increases consumption, business income and investors’ appetite for stocks. This could set new records for the major US indices,” Pascowitch said.

Still on foreign stocks, Bernardo highlights the BDRs.

“By the end of 2020, they have been released to all investors on the Brazilian stock market, and by 2021 liquidity will have increased. “An important cut-off for ETF (Exchange Traded Funds) BDRs: they will be released next year. It will be easier for Brazilian investors to diversify into other sectors of the American, European and Asian economies,” he concludes.